Donald Trump’s presidency, from 2017 to 2021, marked a seismic shift in both domestic and global politics. The brash, unorthodox leader disrupted the traditional political landscape, challenging norms and institutions that had been in place for decades. As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, Trump’s potential return to the White House looms large, but there are powerful forces, both within the United States and globally, that may prevent him from regaining the presidency. People in the geopolitical arena term these forces as the Deep State.
The first and most immediate obstacles Trump faces are the numerous legal battles that could derail his campaign. Indictments related to his business practices attempts to overturn the 2020 election results, and other alleged criminal activities have created a legal quagmire that could disqualify him or severely hinder his ability to campaign effectively. Even if Trump manages to navigate these legal challenges, the political establishment, including both Democrats and segments of the Republican Party, may take steps to block his return as the US President.
Beyond America’s borders, Trump’s potential return is met with apprehension by many global leaders. During his first term, Trump’s foreign policy was marked by a withdrawal from multilateral agreements, a trade war with China, strained relations with NATO allies, and an unpredictable approach to diplomacy. His “America First” rhetoric often translated into policies that alienated long-standing allies and created rifts in international relations.
Key global powers, particularly in Europe and Asia, are concerned that another Trump presidency could further destabilize the international order. European leaders, who had difficult relationships with Trump, fear that his return could weaken NATO and undermine the collective security architecture that has been in place since World War II. Similarly, Asian nations worry about the implications of Trump’s unpredictable stance on China, North Korea, and trade agreements.
These concerns are not just theoretical. Many global leaders and international organizations have quietly, and in some cases openly, expressed their preference for a more predictable and cooperative U.S. administration. Diplomatic channels are likely being used to influence American policymakers and public opinion, advocating for a candidate who is more aligned with the international community’s goals.
Another formidable force against Trump’s potential re-election is the global financial establishment. Trump’s economic policies, particularly his approach to tariffs and international trade, caused significant disruption in global markets. His willingness to upend long-standing trade agreements and impose tariffs on allies and adversaries alike created uncertainty in the global economy.
The financial sector, which thrives on stability and predictability, views Trump’s return as a potential threat to economic growth and market stability. Major financial institutions, multinational corporations, and influential economic policymakers may leverage their considerable influence to support candidates who are more likely to maintain a stable and predictable economic environment. This influence can manifest in various ways, from campaign contributions to lobbying efforts and even media influence.
The media, both in the U.S. and globally, plays a crucial role in shaping public perception of Trump. During his first campaign and presidency, Trump had a contentious relationship with many media outlets, frequently accusing them of bias and spreading “fake news.” While Trump’s supporters rallied behind his attacks on the media, much of the press remains critical of his style of governance and his impact on democratic institutions.
As the 2024 election approaches, media outlets are likely to continue scrutinizing Trump’s record, amplifying his legal troubles, and questioning his fitness for office. The global media, particularly in countries that view Trump’s policies as detrimental to international stability, may also contribute to this narrative, influencing public opinion not just in the U.S. but around the world.
Donald Trump’s path to a second term in the White House is fraught with challenges. While he maintains a significant base of support, the opposition from various powerful forces—both domestic and global—cannot be underestimated. Legal battles, political resistance within his own party, international diplomatic pressure, financial sector apprehensions, and media scrutiny all combine to create a formidable barrier to his re-election. We cannot deny the simple truth that Trump was the political casualty of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Whether these forces will be enough to prevent Trump from becoming president again remains to be seen, but it is clear that his potential return is viewed by many as a threat to both American and global stability. In a world increasingly interconnected and interdependent, the decision of who leads the United States carries immense weight, and the global powers that be may do everything in their power to ensure that it is not Donald Trump.
