Key Takeaways
- A likely recession in America with two million layoffs is predicted due to ongoing tariff increases.
- The recession will result in losses in household income of $5,000 or more per family.
- The US Treasury Secretary warns that the policies will harm American consumers and businesses.
Washington: Former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said that the United States is likely heading into a recession, with the possibility of two million Americans losing their jobs as a result of the ongoing tariff increases.
“It’s more likely than not that we’re going to have a recession – and in the context of a recession, we’ll see an extra 2 million people be unemployed,” Summers said in an interview to Bloomberg TV.
“We’ll see losses in household income” of 5,000 dollars per family or more, said Summers, who is Harvard University professor.
Summers argued that the tariff plans by the Trump administration exceed even those of 1930 that “made the depression great,” noting that it would be wise to be “backing off the policies that have been announced.”
Despite warnings from economists, the White House indicated on Tuesday that the policies will go into effect as previously planned. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said the president expects the tariffs to go into effect.
“The president was asked and answered this yesterday. He said he’s not considering an extension or delay. I spoke to him before this briefing. That was not his mindset. He expects that these tariffs are going to go into effect,” White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said at a press briefing.
On April 2, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order regarding the so-called “reciprocal tariffs,” announcing that the United States will impose a 10 percent “baseline tariff” on trade partners and higher tariffs on certain partners, with some facing tariffs exceeding 30 percent, and even 40 percent.
The 10 percent “baseline tariff” went into effect on April 5, and the higher tariffs on certain trading partners are set to go into effect on Wednesday, April 9.
Although Trump has repeatedly claimed that the tariff increases will help generate revenue for the US government, reduce the trade deficit, and revitalize American manufacturing, economists and business leaders warn that these tariff measures will drive up prices, harm American consumers and businesses, disrupt global trade, and be detrimental to global economic growth.
Several US trade partners have already announced countermeasures.
